Tokyo Post-Race Speed Figure & Track Variant Recap (Monday, Oct 12): NISHINO REVENANT Clocks 108.0 vs Par GLD
Once official race results and sectional splits are locked in for Tokyo on Monday, Oct 12, the GLD Racing post-race speed figure pipeline standardizes every final time against our GLD Class Par Class Par (Par GLD) baseline and calculates the daily Track Variant. Below is our complete post-meeting audit covering the fastest GLD Speed Figures, observed running-style and barrier biases (SPD, OP, S, C), and our Next-Out High-LP Watchlist.
For pre-race projections and interactive past performances on upcoming cards, visit our Live Race Previews, explore the Tokyo Track Hub, and benchmark historical figures on our Empirical Class Pars and Barrier & Running-Style Bias dashboards.
1. Fastest GLD Speed Figures of the Meeting (vs. GLD Class Par Par GLD)
Every runner's raw finishing time is adjusted for the empirical Track Variant (-2.8 pts), distance-specific beaten-length energy decay, and weight carried before being compared directly against our GLD Class Par Par GLD benchmark for that exact class and distance.
| Race | Runner (ALL CAPS) | Distance & Class | GLD Speed Figure | Empirical Par GLD (GLD Class Par) | Delta vs Par GLD | Style & Gate | Late Pace (LP / Closing 3F (Agari 3F)) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race 11 | #3 NISHINO REVENANT | 1600m Turf (2-Win) | 108.0 | 84.0 | +24.0 | C (Gate 3) | 102.0 (32.60s) |
| Race 11 | #9 DEE MY THE KID | 1600m Turf (2-Win) | 106.0 | 84.0 | +22.0 | C (Gate 9) | 105.0 (32.50s) |
| Race 11 | #5 BORN THIS WAY | 1600m Turf (2-Win) | 106.0 | 84.0 | +22.0 | OP (Gate 5) | 101.0 (32.70s) |
| Race 10 | #1 BADRINATH | 1600m Turf (2-Win) | 104.0 | 84.0 | +20.0 | OP (Gate 1) | 99.0 (32.80s) |
| Race 10 | #11 RED BANDE | 1600m Turf (2-Win) | 100.0 | 84.0 | +16.0 | OP (Gate 11) | 102.0 (32.60s) |
| Race 10 | #9 VENT FRAIS | 1600m Turf (2-Win) | 98.0 | 84.0 | +14.0 | OP (Gate 9) | 104.0 (32.50s) |
Figure Standout Analysis
- Meeting Speed Figure Leader — #3 NISHINO REVENANT (Race 11): Topped the entire Tokyo card with a
108.0GLD Speed Figure, outperforming the84.0Par GLD(GLD Class Par) benchmark by+24.0 pointswhile pairing anLPrating of102.0(32.60sClosing 3F (Agari 3F)). - Class Par Context: Any performance exceeding
Par GLDby+2.0points or more indicates a runner capable of handling an immediate class rise on its next start. Compare these figures against multi-season norms on our Class Par & Speed Figure Benchmarks page.
2. Empirical Track Variant & Running-Style Bias Summary (SPD, OP, S, C)
Understanding how the racing surface played across all 12 races is essential before evaluating individual trip notes.
| Metric | Observed Meeting Reading | Analytical Takeaway |
|---|---|---|
| Empirical Track Variant | -2.8 GLD pts (-0.2s / 1000m) | Standardized surface speed allowance across Turf races |
| SPD (Early Speed) Winners | 3 / 12 | Wire-to-wire and pace-forcing front-runners |
| OP (On-Pace Presser) Winners | 6 / 12 | Tactical stalkers sitting 1–3 lengths off the lead |
| S (Mid-Pack Stalker) Winners | 0 / 12 | Mid-division runners saving ground before angling out |
| C (Deep Closer) Winners | 3 / 12 | Late-running closers relying on high LP splits |
| Dominant Barrier Zone | Middle (Gates 5-8) | Captured 5 of 12 races on the card |
- JRA Cushion Value, Bracket (
Wakuban) & Closing 3F (Agari 3F) Profile: At Tokyo, the empirical Track Variant calibrated at-2.8 GLD points(-0.2s per 1000m). Bracket draws in Middle (Gates 5-8) secured 5 of 12 victories, while runners capable of sub-34.0s Agari 3F closing splits dominated the upper speed-figure tier. - Dominant Running Style (
OP): Runners classified under OP (On-Pace Presser) led the meeting victory ledger. When reviewing past performances for the next Tokyo fixture, upgrade beaten contenders that raced against this prevailingOP/Middle (Gates 5-8)flow. Full terminology definitions are available in our Handicapping & Speed Figure Glossary.
3. Next-Out High-LP & Against-the-Bias Watchlist
The highest-leverage betting angles often emerge from beaten runners that clocked elite Late Pace (LP) closing splits or overcame severe pace/barrier adversity. Flag these runners in your GLD Racing Past Performances next time out:
| Race | Watchlist Runner (ALL CAPS) | Finish | Late Pace (LP / Closing 3F (Agari 3F)) | GLD Speed Figure (vs Par GLD) | Style & Gate | Upgrade Angle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race 11 | #10 JUN BLOSSOM | 5 | 106.0 (32.40s) | 105.0 (+21.0 vs Par) | C (Gate 10) | Closed Against Inside-Speed Bias |
| Race 3 | #8 MARS REGINA | 3 | 105.0 (32.50s) | 68.0 (-16.0 vs Par) | OP (Gate 8) | Pressed Scorching Early Pace Duel |
| Race 10 | #9 VENT FRAIS | 3 | 104.0 (32.50s) | 98.0 (+14.0 vs Par) | OP (Gate 9) | Pressed Scorching Early Pace Duel |
| Race 9 | #12 GOBADU | 2 | 104.0 (32.50s) | 81.0 (-3.0 vs Par) | C (Gate 12) | Closed Against Inside-Speed Bias |
Scouting Notes for Next Start
- #10 JUN BLOSSOM (Race 11, 1600m Turf): Recorded a standout Late Pace (
LP) rating of106.0(32.40sClosing 3F (Agari 3F)) and an empirical GLD Speed Figure of105.0(+21.0vs84.0Par GLD). Breaking from Gate 10 with aCprofile, JUN BLOSSOM is a prime next-out upgrade when stepping into a cleaner pace setup. - #8 MARS REGINA (Race 3, 1600m Turf): Recorded a standout Late Pace (
LP) rating of105.0(32.50sClosing 3F (Agari 3F)) and an empirical GLD Speed Figure of68.0(-16.0vs84.0Par GLD). Breaking from Gate 8 with aOPprofile, MARS REGINA is a prime next-out upgrade when stepping into a cleaner pace setup. - #9 VENT FRAIS (Race 10, 1600m Turf): Recorded a standout Late Pace (
LP) rating of104.0(32.50sClosing 3F (Agari 3F)) and an empirical GLD Speed Figure of98.0(+14.0vs84.0Par GLD). Breaking from Gate 9 with aOPprofile, VENT FRAIS is a prime next-out upgrade when stepping into a cleaner pace setup. - #12 GOBADU (Race 9, 1600m Turf): Recorded a standout Late Pace (
LP) rating of104.0(32.50sClosing 3F (Agari 3F)) and an empirical GLD Speed Figure of81.0(-3.0vs84.0Par GLD). Breaking from Gate 12 with aCprofile, GOBADU is a prime next-out upgrade when stepping into a cleaner pace setup.
4. Contextual Handicapping Resources & Regional Hubs
Use these quantitative tools to cross-reference today's post-race speed figures ahead of the next race meeting:
- Venue Track Hub: Tokyo Track Geometry & Sectional Guide
- Speed Figure Par Benchmarks: Empirical Class Pars (`GLD Class Par`)
- Barrier & Running-Style Matrices: Track Bias & Draw Efficiency Dashboard and Surface Going Impact
- Definitions & Formulas: GLD Racing Handicapping Glossary (`GLD Speed Figure`, `Par GLD`, `EP`, `LP`, `Track Variant`)
- Upcoming Cards & Regional Hubs: Live Race Previews, /japan-racing and /ja, and Traditional Chinese Hub (`/zh`)
5. Frequently Asked Questions (Post-Race Speed Figure Recap FAQ)
Q1: How is the empirical Track Variant calculated for Tokyo on Monday, Oct 12?
The empirical Track Variant (-2.8 GLD points) is derived by comparing the median finishing times and closing sectional splits of each race on Monday, Oct 12 against our multi-season GLD Class Par Class Par (Par GLD) baseline at Tokyo, isolating true surface speed from horse quality.
Q2: Which horse recorded the fastest GLD Speed Figure of the Tokyo meeting?
#3 NISHINO REVENANT in Race 11 recorded the meeting's fastest GLD Speed Figure at 108.0, exceeding the empirical 84.0 Par GLD benchmark by +24.0 points with a 102.0 Late Pace (LP) rating.
Q3: How did running-style (SPD, OP, S, C) and barrier bias impact the Tokyo results?
The meeting favored OP (On-Pace Presser) runners and barriers in Middle (Gates 5-8), which produced 5 of 12 winners. Runners that closed wide against this flow are highlighted in our Next-Out Watchlist and can be tracked on our Track Bias Dashboard.
Q4: How should bettors use the Next-Out High-LP Watchlist for future races?
Runners on the High-LP Watchlist generated superior final sectional velocity (LP) despite unfavorable pace setups or wide barrier trips. When these horses reappear in GLD Racing Previews at a comparable class level (Par GLD), they frequently offer strong value against public morning lines.
Disclaimer: GLD Racing is an independent analytical service and is not affiliated with or endorsed by The Hong Kong Jockey Club (HKJC), the Japan Racing Association (JRA), the National Association of Racing (NAR), or the Korea Racing Authority (KRA). All speed figures, track variants, and sectional analyses are for informational and entertainment purposes only. 18+ | Please Gamble Responsibly | 1-800-GAMBLER.
